In Tamil Nadu, there is a question whether Vijay’s Tamil Nadu Victory Kazhagam, Nam Tamils and AIADMK parties can defeat the DMK alliance if they form an alliance.
The first phase of the 2024 Lok Sabha elections in Tamil Nadu was held on April 19. Elections were held in one phase in 40 constituencies including Tamil Nadu and Puducherry. The DMK alliance has won 40 out of 40 seats in Tamil Nadu and Puducherry.
Almost all parties except DMK and DMK allies have lost their deposits in this election. Moreover, for the first time in an election, AIADMK lost its deposit in 7 seats.
Alliance: Vijay’s Tamil Nadu Victory Kazhagam in Tamil Nadu, the question is whether Naam Tamils and AIADMK parties can defeat the DMK alliance if they form an alliance. For this, let’s see what the situation is in terms of percentage rather than logically.
The DMK alliance won 46.97 percent of the votes in the last Lok Sabha elections.
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The DMK alone won 26.93 percent of the votes.
The AIADMK alliance won 23.05 percent of the votes.
The AIADMK alone won 20.46 percent of the votes.
8.20 percent of votes won by us tamils alone.
Alliance: It is in such a situation that Vijay’s Tamil Nadu Victory Kazhagam + AIADMK + Naam Tamilar alliance can be formed in Tamilnadu, some AIADMK support advisers are saying. Mainly we can invite Tamils to the alliance. Some AIADMK support advisers are saying that through this they can retaliate against the DMK alliance.
According to calculations, the votes won by the DMK alliance in the last Lok Sabha elections was 46.97 percent. Let’s say it goes up to 43 even if it falls in assembly elections.
On the opposite side, the AIADMK alliance could get up to 25 percent. If we Tamils join them, there are chances that it will increase to 33.
Vijay’s vote percentage is now in doubt. Usually in Tamil Nadu newly started actors party vote percentage is up to 5 in the first election. Only 5 percent was for DMD which had a formal structure.
In such a situation, even if Vijay’s Tamil Nadu Victory Kazhagam is given a maximum of 7.. if they form an alliance with the AIADMK, it will be 40.
Unless some of the parties in the BJP alliance, including the BMC, join the AIADMK alliance, there is no chance of the DMK alliance. It must be said that there is little chance of changes in this number unless there is a major political change.
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